“Record-level data from Czech Republic FOIA proves that the Moderna vaccines increased all-cause mortality by over 30% (and the Pfizer vaccines weren’t safe either)”
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“Safe and effective?” Using this new data, we can finally prove that the COVID vaccines were not safe or effective for anyone of any age. No COVID benefits, and they increased your risk of death.
Originally posted on the author’s Substack
![Image](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2568eace-bd47-4c16-b048-502a1de2cd6c_900x568.png)
This is the original article that was first published on July 17, 2024.
The newer articles include:
- A summary of why the Czech Republic data is so devastating to the “safe and effective” narrative: a high level overview of why this data is so devastating
- Attempts to debunk my “Moderna and Pfizer are kill shots” post fail badly: this article responds to the first set of attacks.
- A closer look at the Czech Republic data confirms the mRNA vaccines are too deadly to be used: this article responds to the 2nd wave of attacks
Scientific paper being drafted
Karl Jablonowski, Ph.D and Brian Hooker, PhD are in the process of writing this up for publication in a peer-reviewed journal.
About this article
Record-level vaccination-death data obtained legally under FOIA from the Czech Republic can be easily analyzed to compare the one-year mortality rates for each individual age group by brand. If the vaccines are all safe, the mortality should be very similar, differing only by marginal effectiveness. If we exclude months of COVID mortality, the mortality rates between brands should be nearly identical, only differing due to very small composition differences between participants in each age group of the same sex and age.
Unfortunately, the brands differ substantially whether or not you exclude the COVID months of death.
The importance of this article is that it proves, for the first time, using gold-standard unimpeachable data and a new brain-dead simple analysis method that is not subject to confounding, that the COVID vaccines increased all-cause mortality.
This article will be ignored by the mainstream media and medical community for as long as possible. This is why it is important to spread the word.
Executive summary
Official government record-level data obtained through a FOIA request from the Czech Republic shows that the Moderna COVID vaccine increased all-cause-mortality (ACM) as measured over a 12-month period from the time of vaccination for every age as compared to the Pfizer vaccine.
If the COVID vaccines were safe, the overall ACM across different vaccine brands would be very similar.
This is not the case. They are radically different and the difference is highly statistically significant.
For example, for ages 46-69 who got two shots of Moderna vs. two shots of Pfizer in 2021 in the Czech Republic, there is over a 50% higher risk of death measured over a 1 year time window since the time of the shot as shown in the chart above.
The younger you were, the greater the percentage increase in risk. For 20 to 29 year old’s for example, the MRR (mortality rate ratio between Moderna to Pfizer) approached 2:1 which means you more than doubled your all-cause mortality if you took a Moderna shot.
So even if the Pfizer vaccine was 100% safe, the Moderna vaccine should be immediately stopped as being far too deadly to use for any age group.
The 50% number is an absolute ACM increase compared to the Pfizer ACM value, not a comparison of excess mortality risk.
That’s a train wreck. Vaccines are always supposed to reduce absolute ACM. Vaccines are never supposed to increase ACM, even by a little bit.
The Pfizer COVID vaccine is also too unsafe to use, but we don’t have enough data to accurately estimate how much it increases all-cause mortality. From the limited data, I believe it’s safe to say Pfizer appears to have at least 10% higher all-cause mortality than Novavax (that is a very conservative estimate since all the data was much higher than that), making Pfizer also completely unsuitable for public use.
To put it in numbers, if everyone in the US got the initial 2 dose Moderna shot, it would cause a minimum of 650,000 excess deaths (which I estimated at a 20% increase in overall US ACM because the ACM rates are much higher for older ages where the % impact of the vaccine is much smaller). That is a conservative estimate. Rancourt et al estimated the COVID shots kill on average for all ages 1.26 people per 1,000 shots. In the US with over 677M shots given, the estimate is over 850,000 deaths.
Even more problematic is that no world health authority, local, national, or international, was able to detect such a massive relative mortality increase of Moderna compared to Pfizer.
The reason is simple: none of them bothered to look.
There isn’t a single mortality comparison by brand posted by a public health agency anywhere in the world ever. Not even in internal documents.
That’s appalling. Yet nobody in the mainstream medical community ever voiced a concern about the lack of this sort of obvious safety monitoring and the total lack of data transparency.
If they looked, they would have found exactly what I found: a major problem. It took me less than 15 hours from the time I got the data to spot the huge anomaly in the data.
This is a major failing of the medical community and regulators. They should all publicly apologize and admit they were inept.
If Moderna cannot show how this analysis is wrong, then the Moderna vaccines should be immediately halted worldwide to prevent further deaths.
All the source data and analysis tools are in full public view for anyone to replicate.
I’ve reached out to Pfizer, Moderna, Novavax, and UPenn Biostatistics Professor Jeffrey Morris for comments on this article.
Only Professor Morris replied. I’ve included a link to his analysis of this article so you can decide for yourself. He basically has no issues with the data integrity, the methodology, or the results of applying the methodology to the data. He believes my interpretation of the results are flawed; the vaccines are safe and that there must be a confounder that explains why there is a disparity.
Here is everything you need to know: Professor Morris cannot explain why, if the COVID vaccines are safe, there can be a 50% higher mortality rate if you got a Moderna shot instead of a Pfizer shot. And for why younger people had even greater mortality disparities. Even in his explanation posted on X, he tries to distract your attention, and completely avoids trying to explain the key point of this article. He now admits I am right, that Moderna has higher death rates than Pfizer, but then says that the death rates are still lower than the unvaccinated so that the COVID vaccines saved lives and that Moderna saved fewer lives than Pfizer.
But the problem of course with his logic is that there is no evidence whatsoever that the mortality differences between the brands were during the COVID waves where, if he’s right, Pfizer deaths didn’t go up and Moderna did go up. The time series below show the mortality differences emerged as soon as you got the shot and for each of the next 20 weeks after that. And Dr. Clare Craig addressed the COVID differences in her post (there were none).
And this is precisely why this article is so important: Because there is no viable explanation for the Czech Republic data other than the obvious explanation: that the Moderna vaccine is far more deadly than the Pfizer vaccine.
Note: This is a living document. I will be updating this article with new data and if there are any mistakes I will fix them.
The video
There is a one-hour video of me explaining the data, the methods, the results, and the implications on Rumble.
Here’s a 90-second video showing why you should never trust the medical community ever again when they say something is “safe and effective.”
Outline
This may be helpful in navigating this document. Key sections are:
- Data source and characteristics
- Methodology
- Results
- Interpretation
- Third-party analyses
- Implications
- Attack vectors
- Actions that should be taken in response to this data
- Predicted reactions from FDA, CDC, Moderna, …
- The stunning attempt to debunk this analysis from UPenn Director of the Division of Biostatistics Professor Jeffrey Morris
- Testimonials
- Acknowledgements
- Next steps
Introduction
The Czech Republic official record-level data on vaccines administered to the entire country has been sitting on the Internet for nearly 4 months. I just found out about it.
This data is the mother lode. We have NEVER had data like this before.
Because there was no systematic bias in the way the vaccines were allocated in the Czech Republic, calculating the 1 year mortality rate (MR) of each age group from the date of the shot should yield very similar numbers for each vaccine brand if the vaccines are safe. The MR=(# died within 1 year)/(# injected).
Let’s define a mortality rate ratio or MRR = MR (Moderna) / MR (Pfizer).
If both vaccines are safe and reduced all-cause mortality by similar amounts, the MRR will be approximately 1 for all age groups.
But what we found is stunning. The numbers are not similar at all.
Moderna has over a 50% higher all-cause mortality for ages 46-69 than Pfizer.
Even if Pfizer reduced all-cause mortality by 10% for all age groups (which is completely improbable as I’ll show in a subsequent article), Moderna would still have increased all-cause mortality and should be immediately pulled from the market worldwide unless Moderna can explain how the Czech the data is consistent with a safe vaccine.
I don’t see how they can possibly do that.
Furthermore, this data should completely decimate any trust anyone had in the medical community to monitor vaccine safety and protect the public. If after 3.5 years of data collection you cannot detect a vaccine which increases all-cause mortality by 50% or more, you should admit you are completely incompetent to monitor for vaccine safety.
In addition, the medical journals should retract all studies showing the COVID vaccines are safe. They are not. All of these studies are false and misleading.
Pfizer is unsafe too (it increases all-cause mortality by 10% or more), but I’ll cover that in a subsequent article.
Getting the data
I’ve posted the Czech Republic data and all the analysis tools I used to my github repo. Anyone can download and verify the results in under 1 hour. The analysis directory has various spreadsheets allowing you to verify, analyze, and visualize the data.
The data was originally obtained by a Czech citizen (Stanislav Veselý) under a FOIA request. Tomáš Furst posted it to github 4 months ago on March 29, 2024 but he didn’t tell anyone and nobody noticed.
About the data
This is official government data on everyone in the country.
The data includes everyone who was alive at any time during the period from 2020 onwards. This means that it has more rows than the number of people alive at any particular time point. Those who died during that period and those who were born during that period are included. The data matches the numbers reported by the Czech Bureau of Statistics.
Exact dates are provided for everything except date of birth. To preserve privacy, they just supplied the year of birth.
The data has one record per person showing up to 7 vaccinations
Each vaccination record consisted of 4 fields: date of vaccination, lot number, vaccine code, and vaccine manufacturer.
If the person died between Jan 1, 2020 and December 31, 2022, the exact date of death was supplied. People who died before this period are not included in the data. People who died after are included but their death is not recorded.
This is gold-standard data. Official data. Over 5M vaccinated. We have never had a publicly available database before with record-level data like this allowing us to accurately compare mortality between vaccine brands.
CONTINUE READING
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