Poll: Voter Sentiment Spells Defeat for Democrats in Midterms

Two-Thirds of Americans Say Democrats Have Not Made a Case to Earn Votes in Midterms

Over 80% of Voters Say Republicans Will Win Control of One or Both Chambers in Congress

(Austin, TX—November 1, 2022) Convention of States Action, in partnership with The Trafalgar Group—one of America’s most accurate pollsters in 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2021—is releasing the results of a new national survey. Results were from surveys conducted October 25th through October 30th of over 1,000 likely 2022 election voters.

“The American people are wise, pragmatic, and understand what needs to be done to get the nation back on track, despite the fact that so many elected officials in Washington, DC do not. In the final estimation, voters–even Democratic voters–have determined that the current leadership is not getting it done, and believe Republicans will sweep big on election day,” said Mark Meckler, President of the Convention of States. “However, our previous polling shows that Republicans have also failed to make a strong enough case to voters, and thus should be mindful that–if they succeed–the public has high expectations for them to fulfill campaign promises and deliver solutions.”

For complete details on the poll, including graphics, please visit:

(Austin, TX—November 1, 2022) Convention of States Action, in partnership with The Trafalgar Group—one of America’s most accurate pollsters in 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2021—is releasing the results of a new national survey. Results were from surveys conducted October 25th through October 30th of over 1,000 likely 2022 election voters.

“The American people are wise, pragmatic, and understand what needs to be done to get the nation back on track, despite the fact that so many elected officials in Washington, DC do not. In the final estimation, voters–even Democratic voters–have determined that the current leadership is not getting it done, and believe Republicans will sweep big on election day,” said Mark Meckler, President of the Convention of States. “However, our previous polling shows that Republicans have also failed to make a strong enough case to voters, and thus should be mindful that–if they succeed–the public has high expectations for them to fulfill campaign promises and deliver solutions.”

For complete details on the poll, including graphics, please visit:

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/nat-issues-midterms-1031/

KEY INSIGHT: 66 Percent of American Voters Believe That President Biden and Democrats Have Not Made the Case to Voters to Support Democratic Candidates in Midterms:

• 65.9 percent of voters believe that President Biden and Democrat Leadership have not made a strong enough case as to why Democrat candidates should earn voters’ support in 2022 elections.

• 34.1 percent of voters believe that President Biden and Democrat Leadership have made a strong enough case as to why Democrat candidates should earn voters’ support in 2022 elections.

KEY INSIGHT: 75 Percent of Independents Join Republicans in Saying That Democrats Have Not Made the Case for Voter Support in Midterm Elections:

• 75.4 percent of Independent voters believe that President Biden and Democrat Leadership have not made a strong enough case as to why Democrat candidates should earn voters’ support in 2022 elections. 24.6 percent say they have made a strong enough case.

• 96 percent of Republican voters believe that President Biden and Democrat Leadership have not made a strong enough case as to why Democrat candidates should earn voters’ support in 2022 elections. 4 percent say they have made a strong enough case.

• 28.5 percent of Democratic voters believe that President Biden and Democrat Leadership have not made a strong enough case as to why Democrat candidates should earn voters’ support in 2022 elections. 71.5 percent say they have made a strong enough case.

KEY INSIGHT: Over 80 Percent of Voters Believe Republicans Will Control One or Both, Chambers of Congress After 2022 Midterms:

• 80.5 percent of American voters believe that Republicans will at the very least win control of one Congressional chamber:
• • 50.2 percent say Republicans will win control of the House and Senate.
  • 30.3 percent say Republicans will win control of one chamber and Democrats will maintain control of the other. 

• 19.5 percent say Democrats will maintain control of the House and Senate.